WIND, EQPT, SKILL, CHANCE, CAST BULLET ACCURACY
Accuracy is affected by and is the product of: wind, equipment, skill and chance.
One example is 5 shot 100 yard groups.
Average group size is 1.190", and with no wind, or if we learned to compensate perfectly for the wind, would be 1.144", a difference of .046".
Equipment differences/improvements such as the difference between Production and Heavy class equipment reduce average group size from 1.190” to .845", a difference of .345".
Shooter skill varies group size so:
Average group size is 1.190" Differences
First place average group size is .731".
Second place average group size is .871". Second to first =.140"
Third place average group size is .974". Third to second = 103"
Fourth place average group size is 1.070". Fourth to third = 096"
Fifth place average group size is 1.133". Fifth to fourth = .063"
Improving skill one level reduces average group size between .140” and .063".
Differences: Wind .046" Equipment .345" Skill .063” to .140"
Wind affects accuracy least, although much more as range increases. Skill affects accuracy more, but less than Equipment. It's hard to imagine an Equipment improvement, above the Heavy class equipment, that is as great as the difference between Production and Heavy equipment.
These changes in group size don't simply add. The changes, in inches, must be squared, the squares summed, and the square root of the sum is the combined change. If the effects of Wind, .046", and Equipment, .345” were eliminated, and Skill improved from Second to First, .140"; then the total of the three is .531” but the combined reduction in group size is .375".
I think that meticulous attention to detail will not increase accuracy substantially; that to substantially improve cast bullet accuracy-and I'm not sure that that is a reasonable or sensible goal-the recipe needs changing. I think that the difference in accuracy between jacketed and cast bullets is not in skill or equipment or chance; but is in the bullets. I think that accuracy might be found at higher velocities, with swaged bullets, or with bullets cast of harder alloys allowing higher velocities. Zinc?
Now, is all this statistics stuff true? It's as true as I can make it, with a bucket of assumptions. It's certainly not true in any X.XXX precision sense; it's about approximations and tendencies and relative magnitudes. And, there's a tiny chance that I made a mistake. I know.